For the first time ever, U.S. shale gas production across the nation’s largest seven plays is expected to decline in September.
In its latest drilling productivity report, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecast that shale gas production will dip to 44.9 billion cubic feet per day in September after hitting a record high of 45.6 Bcf/d in May.
“In each region, production from new wells is not large enough to offset production declines from existing, legacy wells,” the EIA said.
The Utica region in eastern Ohio is the only region expected to show production increases in June, July, and August.
Production declines from legacy wells in the Utica are estimated to total 55.6 million cubic feet per day in September.
New well production in the play should partially offset the decline and is expected to hit 52.2 MMcf/d in September.
Total production in the Utica is expected to fall by 3.4 MMcf/d, the EIA added.
Gas production in the Bakken region is projected to fall to 1.468 Bcf/d, down from 1.491 Bcf/d in August.
The Marcellus shale play is expected to see production dip by 60 MMcf/d to 16.372 Bcf/d, down from 16.432 Bcf/d in August.
The Eagle Ford Basin, located in Texas, will record the largest natural gas production decline of the seven regions included in the report.
Shale gas production in the play will drop by 112 MMcf/d to 6.864 Bcf/d in September.
The Permian Basin, also located in Texas, is projected to post a 9 MMcf/d production decline in September when the play is expected to pump 6.342 Bcf/d.
These seven regions accounted for 95 percent of domestic oil production growth and all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-13.
The report does not account for several external factors that could affect production such as such as bad weather, shut-ins based on environmental or economic issues, variations in the quality and frequency of state production data, and infrastructure constraints.